Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 179.904436 213.564964 254.785829 310.019067 383.767993 481.451290 6.254159e+02
2025-01-26 144.460044 186.894427 246.107396 339.009359 490.213540 746.794173 1.273955e+03
2025-02-02 130.928397 180.072382 255.589151 389.981245 650.399835 1217.123441 2.965245e+03
2025-02-09 112.025564 159.613344 237.041557 386.162949 711.334668 1565.923312 5.418339e+03
2025-02-16 100.065653 146.941642 227.105781 392.965260 798.194274 2100.250311 1.187039e+04
2025-02-23 90.653861 136.459138 218.114931 397.859460 885.158672 2805.453015 3.204640e+04
2025-03-02 83.693286 128.853850 212.509380 407.868173 995.980836 3912.284294 1.679326e+05
2025-03-09 77.474300 121.530737 205.815777 412.976200 1099.087365 5407.662499 1.711941e+07
2025-03-16 70.622324 112.106678 193.130803 399.077544 1127.213431 6600.979380 NaN
2025-03-23 67.639743 109.471311 194.005480 421.391137 1323.653476 11094.632562 NaN
2025-03-30 61.926678 100.940619 180.783108 400.200916 1311.403784 12950.217966 NaN
2025-04-06 58.713497 96.926567 176.926171 405.552255 1440.294387 20296.756445 NaN
2025-04-13 54.491836 90.904656 168.588184 398.083123 1518.796167 31293.917572 NaN
2025-04-20 53.297177 90.890305 174.374838 439.547782 1985.658470 152973.099479 NaN
2025-04-27 53.397995 93.532087 187.195870 513.928946 2975.210503 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 50.142675 88.595651 179.811975 508.298294 3230.209799 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 47.810025 85.409599 176.480971 518.335794 3749.535224 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 45.614549 82.286810 172.782382 525.575964 4316.749669 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 43.847856 79.939891 170.832211 540.429534 5171.578725 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 42.029927 77.290841 167.590363 548.034515 6027.082465 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 39.649116 73.132729 159.385410 527.380289 6109.039070 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 38.775611 72.414054 161.196576 560.598549 8219.222156 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 36.496686 68.184487 151.882355 529.045153 7818.771914 NaN NaN